Here below please find attached the video-analysis of the Euro FX currency futures for today March 1st:
The Euro FX futures is still in measured moves lower on the daily chart. The last setup had resistance and short entry around the 1.3170 level with a stop above 1.3205 which was never hit. The first target in the 1.2950 area was only hit yesterday. Those who though the BCE rally was the start of the move higher of the Euro were mistaken (of course Fitch downgrading Italy was already ‘known’ the day of the BCE rally).
If we consider the 1.2950 first target hit on Friday we have two possibilities now. At the beginning of the week we could rally into the 1.3040 area (or even higher breaking the 1.3065) level and then come back into the 1.2900 support; or,price could just keep moving lower into the 1.2900 area of support. Hereunder are the two scenarios (refer to the above picture):
Scenario 1. Price does not trade the next traditional short at the 1.3040 area, but just keeps moving lower into the 1.2900 area of support. We could witness participation in the 1.2900 from professionals and Program Trading.
Scenario 2. If the Euro gets a bid on Monday price could move higher into the 1.3040 area or above and then resume the move lower into the 1.2900 area. In the 1.2900 area or slightly below it we could witness participation from professionals and Program Trading.
There is still a possibility for price to continue through the 1.2900 area and pierce the 1.2700 level, in which case we can anticipate a retest of the 1.2130 area of support.
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