S&P500 e-mini finds selling at previous highs, April 28th 2014

Dear Traders,

S&P500 e-mini has recently confirmed an area of resistance that lines up with its first weekly target at 1,882. While that does not necessarily mean that the ES e-mini futures cannot continue its move higher, this is the third time price is rejected around that 1,882 area as showed by the three red crosses in the daily chart below :

S&P500 emini profit taking from algos at previous highs

S&P500 emini profit taking from algos at previous highs – April 28th 2014

The reason why we are seeing profit taking at that level should be clear: that 1,882 is the first target of the “busted” setup we saw at the lows at the beginning of February. That level, that in the chart above is the 1,728.75 (according to the levels of the continuous contract aligned to the June expiration) was 1,735 in the previous contract expired in March.

Apparently, weekly bulls and long Program Trading was not able to sustain price above the stop level. This si always a warning sign and a good reason to anticipate selling when price gets to the first target. This target is indeed the 1,882 level mentioned above and this explains the reason why we are seeing weakess, i.e. Program Trading selling at those levels.

What can we anticipate for the near future? The 1,882 is clearly a level where professional and Program Trading has been selling so far. If price continues lower we could see a retest of the 1,809 area, which I have now indicated with a broken blue line.

The line is broken because we have already tested that level and second tests are always dangerous tests. If price gets there there is a possibility of the S&P500 futures to just slip below it and below that 1,789 level. If that’s the case a retest of 1,750 and even much lower prices could actually materialize.

On the other hand, if price bounces again from here there is a possiblity for a new retest of 1,882 that could see renewed selling. I am going with the first scenario for now and looking forward for a retest of 1,809.

Notice that price projections in my method are not from/to random levels and do not follow Elliot Wave, DiNapoli levels or other methods, but rather a proprietary method based on modeling effects of Program and Algorithmic Trading on price.

The FibStalking timing technique and the the FibStalker method help “level plain” the trading game showing what banks, institutions and big hedge funds are actually doing (and not what they are saying they are doing). Learn how to spot the Algorithmic Trading footprints.

I send a free Newsletter in the weekend and provide updates throughout the week. The newsletter typically includes 3 video reviews for (1) EUR/USD, Dollar Index, S&P500 emini and Gold emini; (2) the Japanese Yen majors, i.e. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY; (3) the other majors: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD. Those who want receive it are still in time as I sent the previous 6 issues to all the readers who register.  So, go ahead and register here to receive the free weekly newsletter.

If you like this article, feel free to share it with your friends and fellow traders.


Thank you.

Have a great trading and non-trading week.

Regards,,,

The FibStalker Giuseppe, ~the FibStalker

Advertisements

Leave a comment

Filed under Articles, Euro FX analysis and trade setups videos, Euro FX setups and trades, Forex, Market Timing, Program Trading

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s