Monthly Archives: November 2014

Tonight, November 30 2014, in my free weekly Newsletter

Dear all,

The weekly Newsletter for tonight Sunday November 30, 2014 features:

  • FOREX & FUTURES – EUR/USD, Dollar Index futures, S&P500 emini futures and Gold futures , USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY & EUR/CAD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD & NZD/USD Weekly Review
  • FOREX: will add a brief review of a number of other pairs requested by followers
  • EDUCATION: My new session of the FibStalker Methods Coaching Program – Grab the deal, before it is gone!
  • EDUCATION: My day-long seminar at the University of Western Ontario for the Western Forex Association
  • MARKET WEEKLY REVIEWS: – 6 Recent issues of the “FibStalker Newsletter” for new and old readers

I like to help traders at all level of development “level plain” the trading game showing what banks, institutions and big hedge funds are actually doing (and not what they are saying they are doing). Follow my work to learn how to spot the Algorithmic Trading footprints.

I send a free Newsletter in the weekend and provide updates throughout the week. The newsletter typically includes 3 video reviews for (1) EUR/USD, Dollar Index, S&P500 emini and Gold emini; (2) the Japanese Yen majors, i.e. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY; (3) the other majors: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD & NZD/USD.

Please, register here to receive the free weekly newsletter.

When you subscribe you get the links to the last 6 newsletter issues, including tonight’s issue.

So, do not wait and subscribe without hesitation, by clicking on the image below!

Have a great trading week

The FibStalker Giuseppe, ~the FibStalker

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Filed under Education, Forex, Futures, Newsletter, Trading Plan, Webinar, Weekly review

Invite to upcoming Webinar on FXStreet on Order Flow- December 10, 2014

Dear Traders,

Let me ask this straight. Are you part of the 5% of traders who make money regularly and consistently in the markets? If so, congratulations, you can close this page and go back to trading.

But if you are not, you are not alone. These are the statistics: of the remaining 95%, around 10% is known to breakeven or slightly lose and 85% consistently lose money.

As of today an average of 22% still do not use a stop loss and, as a result, they get margin calls and lose their capital (recent source: OANDA). In Western countries new and intermediate traders lose, in average, between $2,000 and $6,000 USD in 3 to 6 months.

So, let me ask you: what are you doing differently or what you plan to do differently to not be or become statistics?

One way to can learn how you can look at the market differently is to join my upcoming Webinar at FXStreet.com

Join my free Webinar next Wednesday 10, to see the relation between Order Flow and Algorithms.

In my trading I model Algos that can be used to frame price structure and for “price discovery”, thanks to the existence of Program Trading a powerful family of Algorithms active on all timeframes in several high volume markets..

The details are below…

20141124_Order Flow and Algos

Register here.

Have a great day.

Thank you,

Kind Regards,,,

~FibStalker

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Filed under Education, Event/Webinar, Forex, Program Trading, Trading Method, Trading Plan, Webinar

All Markets Weekly Review, Analysis and Forecast, November 24 2014

Hello Traders,

Today I am posting for you a weekly review of 12 + 4 markets! I will review some of the opportunities that traded last week and mention what we could see next.

As usual, offering complete trading plans and targets.

If you want to master the method and learn to timing using the FibStalking timing technique, now is the time to get involved.

Read my invite here. And change your results for ever.

But let’s come to my review. Find below the Weekly Review, Analysis & Forecast, for the week starting on November 24, 2014.

Usually I only send these videos review to my Newsletter subscribers, but today I am doing an exception.

I hope you enjoy the review and… stay tuned for the Mid-week review which I will share with my subscribers only.

Here you go:

I hope you enjoy the video. I wish you a great trading week.

Notice that price projections in my method are not from/to random levels and do not follow Elliot Wave, DiNapoli levels or other methods, but rather a proprietary method based on modeling effects of Program and Algorithmic Trading on price.

My method helps “level plain” the trading game showing what banks, institutions and big hedge funds are actually doing (and not what they are saying they are doing). Follow me to learn how to spot the Algorithmic Trading footprints.

I send a free Newsletter in the weekend and provide updates throughout the week. The newsletter typically includes 3 video reviews for (1) EUR/USD, Dollar Index, S&P500 emini and Gold emini; (2) the Japanese Yen majors, i.e. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY; (3) the other majors: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD. Please, register here to receive the free weekly newsletter.

If you like this article, please share it with your friends and fellow traders. Thank you (use the buttons below the article). Sharing is caring…

If you want to receive videos like the one above, just subscribe my free newsletter.

Have a great week

~FibStalker

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Filed under Dollar Index, English language, Euro FX analysis and trade setups videos, Euro FX setups and trades, Forex, Futures, S&P mini futures setups and trades, Trading Plan, Weekly review

Tonight, November 23 2014, in my free weekly Newsletter

Dear all,

The weekly Newsletter for tonight Sunday November 23, 2014 features:

  • FOREX & FUTURES – EUR/USD, Dollar Index futures, S&P500 emini futures and Gold futures , USD/JPY, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY & EUR/CAD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD & NZD/USD Weekly Review
  • FOREX: will add a brief review of the GBP/NZD & USD/CHF pairs requested by followers
  • EDUCATION: Recording of the LAR Interview on Thursday November 13 , 2014
  • EDUCATION: My new session of the FibStalker Methods Coaching Program
  • MARKET WEEKLY REVIEWS: – 6 Recent issues of the “FibStalker Newsletter” for new and old readers

I like to help traders at all level of development “level plain” the trading game showing what banks, institutions and big hedge funds are actually doing (and not what they are saying they are doing). Follow my work to learn how to spot the Algorithmic Trading footprints.

I send a free Newsletter in the weekend and provide updates throughout the week. The newsletter typically includes 3 video reviews for (1) EUR/USD, Dollar Index, S&P500 emini and Gold emini; (2) the Japanese Yen majors, i.e. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY; (3) the other majors: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD & NZD/USD.

Please, register here to receive the free weekly newsletter.

When you subscribe you get the links to the last 6 newsletter issues, including tonight’s issue.

So, do not wait and subscribe without hesitation, by clicking on the image below!

Have a great trading week

The FibStalker Giuseppe, ~the FibStalker

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Filed under Education, Forex, Futures, Newsletter, Trading Plan, Webinar, Weekly review

Article: “Never forget the Market can do Anything” – November 19, 2014

20131205_market can do anything

Dear all,
I often find myself and other traders and students I work with to never forget that the Market can do Anything.
Indeed, most of the things and concepts of trading that I have learned or unlearned in the years had to do with the two following concepts:
1) designing my strategy so that I could  cope with anything the market could throw at me — yes, because the “Market can do Anything” (and I would not end up ‘holding the bag’ because price would move and remain below my entry point)

2) incorporate proper and enhanced risk management so that the possibility of 1) happening is low or non-existent — a level of risk management that the majority would not be ready to accept, like exiting half of the position once the gain on the position reaches a level where it equals the trading risk.

Thus I believe the majority of retail traders do not understand or realize that you *MUST* cope with the master principle that “Market can do Anything”, while I often hear words like “expect”, “assume” and even “know” that the price can do this or that.
Words are powerful, and you should be very careful because you need to *think* something before you say it. And if you think you can expect, assume and even know what price is going to do next, well…. you will be lost — statistically and practically becoming part of the 95% group of retail traders who do not make money in the markets, but rather lose consistently.

The market is “Always Right”, if you address it with a “fixed number of pip risk”, or any other type of assumption of expectations, you will fail. Full stop.
Let the market pick the pip risk, the trading plan and all the rest: you must understand how the market is moving (normally, extended, are algos holding their anchors, etc.)
On the risk side of things, the majority of traders also do not understand that this is a game that you win in defense. You must consistently take small risks and increase the reliability and expectancy of your method. Risk management is a constant and there are ways to improve it. The problem is that you cannot just avoid optimizing risk because you only have access to a method that — being based on traditional technical analysis — can only offer R/R<=3 trades with low probability of hitting the targets.
When you start with such a disadvantage and do not get involved at the beginning of a move (the best way to manage risk too) you will think that the only way to make good return in trading is to increase risk and, maybe, even use leverage (I am *AGAINST* the use of leverage in trading, and it is not needed)…

A smart follower wrote the following to me today in relation to a level I mentioned a few days ago in the EUR/USD before it materialized: “Have a question… you had predicted EUR/USD to 1.21ish and before that to 1.26. We technically touched 1.26 today, but not over 1.26. Do you think now down to 1.21 before any uptrend ?

This question offers me the opportunity — before I offer the answer — for some speculation on the way I think about trading. For me price analysis is a balances of forces. Typically when a level or area of participation by Algos is reached I wait for a confirmation. Basically the Algorithms on the smaller timeframe, driving the counter-trend move into the important level of participation, have to show me that they give the way to the larger timeframe. The larger timeframe wins often, but not all the time. And those time when it does not win, summed to the resulting highest reliability and expectancy that can be obtained by trading right at the FibStalker levels, adds up a lot! Both in the area of winners percentage and R/R values.

So here below is my answer:

“The way my method works is that when I get price into the level of interest, where I anticipate participation for algos on the larger timeframe, I look at what happens on the smaller timeframes.

Imagine 1.26 like a potential barrier where sellers on the larger timeframe can come back into the market again. But nothing is guaranteed int the market. So at these levels I become more vigilant and switch to the smaller timeframe.
To know whether shorts will be successful they need to be strong enough to win the buyers that have pushed the market higher in the last few days.
There are two set of sequences of moves higher that matter at the moment: one on the 4-hour and the other on the 15min.

What I do then is checking if and when these counter-trend sequences fail, as an effect of new shorts that can potentially come in into the markets at the 1.26.

We all know all the information in advance and I use the FibStalking Timing Technique to verify where the 4-hour and 15min sequences fail, if they fail.

So generally there are two scenarios: 1) the sequences fail and the FibStalking timing tells you the exact confirmation level (is a well-defined price level) that tells you when the counter-trend move is not valid any more. That’s the time you must get involved in a short.

Using the confirmation level you get involved in very good spots with high R/R and only after confirmation. This is why trading with the Algos is so convenient and traditional TA is not capable of offering such high R/R trades.

On the other hand it can happen that the counter-trend sequences on the 4-hour and 15min remain intact and no-one shows up at 1.26. In this case you don’t have money at risk and the market can do whatever it wants. I will just wait.

I only get involved in the markets at my own conditions (because after you are in the market can do anything).

Now the good point is that when the counter-trend move fails below or above a FibStalker level, price momentum in the direction of the trade is strong enough to generate a free-risk trade.

If you understand trading and risk management, you know that generating a free-risk trade from a low risk retrace is your job #1 as a trader.

And that’s what I attempt to do. Once I have a free-risk trade I also have a free mind and I can go to think to something else. Because either the market hits my swing profit target or closes me at breakeven minus costs and slippage.

PS: I teach the mechanical and totally procedural way to time FibStalker levels like the 1.26 in the EUR/USD in my multi-month Coaching Program. Drop me an email at fibstalker at gmail.com and ask for information.

As usual, let me know what you think by leaving an email at: fibstalker at gmail.com or a post on my blog.

Below the link to my newsletter if you want to learn more about my methods and my edge in the markets.

Have a great day.

The FibStalker Giuseppe, ~the FibStalker

 

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Filed under Articles, Coaching Program, Education, Forex, Market Timing, Money Management, Risk Management, Trading Method, Trading Plan

Last Thursday Nov 13 interview at Dale Pinkert’s LAR – November 19, 2014

Dear all,

Here below is last Thursday’s interview at the FXStreet.com LAR with Dale Pinkert.

Being invited at the Dale Pinkert’s LAR on FXStreet.com is always a lot of fun. This interview was especially important because Dale is back from his long treatment and I am glad he is recovering quickly. As usually we talked the markets and reviewed my last fundamental analysis and technical call that was published on August 1st in relation to the USD/JPY (6-month review of the Japanese Economy). Particularly I explained why price of USD/JPY had not other place to go but hit 108.50 and eventually 115.90, which it did.

Here is the related link to the article written by Dale Pinkert and Mauricio Carrillo on Sept 16, 2014.

Last Thursday we also had a look at the Euro/Dollar based on the current positioning of Algorithms. As you may know I get my trading edge by the observation of activity of Algos on price.

And we also talked about the little “caterpillars” which is how I call the students of my FibStalker Methods Coaching Program.
I also showed where the USD/JPY is now headed and I gave all the possible price action and trading plans going forward, also explaining what levels have to be monitored and timed with the FibStalking Timing technique (my proprietary timing technique that studies Algos on the smaller timeframes of the counter-trend moves into high probability levels of price participation on the larger timeframes).

You can watch the last interview with Dale Pinkert of November 13, here, and I have also embedded the video below:

http://www.ustream.tv/recorded/55370801

 

Here below find the previous interviews offered on Sept 16 and Sept 30, respectively:

LAR Interview with Dale Pinkert’s at FXStreet.com, Sept 30 2014

LAR Interview with Dale Pinkert’s at FXStreet.com, Sept 16 2014

 

 

As usual, let me know what you think by leaving an email at: fibstalker at gmail.com or a post on my blog.

Below the link to my newsletter if you want to learn more about my methods and my edge in the markets.

Have a great day.

The FibStalker Giuseppe, ~the FibStalker

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Filed under Analysis, Event/Webinar, Forex, Trading Plan, Webinar

“Order Flow and Algos Footprints”, you don’t want to miss this! – November 18, 2014

Dear Traders,

I am working on the speech of one event planned for next Wednesday December 10th, 2o14 on FXStreet.com.

This is something you don’t want to miss!

Why? Read below for yourself.

Title of Webinar: “Order Flow and Algorithms Footprints in Modern Markets” – Wed Dec 10th, 2014

And here is the summary: “Order Flow is about predicting the future flow of orders that will be generated so that you can position yourself to take advantage of the resulting price moves. A few ways order flow is analyzed are reviewed. The practical anticipation of the order flow through modeling of Algorithms heavily active in modern markets – so that a prepared trader can take advantage of it – is then discussed. A final reality check on what classes and families of Algorithms can be leveraged and used in our trading edge, and those that are too fast to be exploited, is offered.

Don’t miss this webinar. This is going to help making one more shift into that much needed, new way of looking at the market.

Wonder why it is so difficult to achieve non-average results in trading (which means losing money consistently)?

Because you need to look at the market differently and start doing things differently!

I am going to help you make this change as I am doing with lots of other traders already.

See you at the event.

 

I like to help traders at all level of development “level plain” the trading game showing what banks, institutions and big hedge funds are actually doing (and not what they are saying they are doing). Follow my work to learn how to spot the Algorithmic Trading footprints.

I send a free Newsletter in the weekend and provide updates throughout the week. The newsletter typically includes 3 video reviews for (1) EUR/USD, Dollar Index, S&P500 emini and Gold emini; (2) the Japanese Yen majors, i.e. USD/JPY, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY; (3) the other majors: GBP/USD, AUD/USD, USD/CAD & NZD/USD.

Please, register here to receive the free weekly newsletter.

Have a great day.
Regards,,,

Giuseppe, ~the FibStalker

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