Category Archives: Trading Method

Come to Challenge Yourself, upcoming Webinar on FXStreet – May 19, 2015

Dear Traders,

It’s free…

Check my free Webinar below.

Download the excel sheet that we will use for our Money Management Game here.

The webinar will be tomorrow at 10AM EST (14:00GMT). The details and the link to register are below. This event if FREE…

HowToChallengeYourself

Register here.

See you tomorrow.

Have a great evening.

Thank you,

Kind Regards,,,

~FibStalker

Author of: FibStalker Methods Coaching Program

Leave a comment

Filed under Education, Event/Webinar, Forex, Program Trading, Trading Method, Trading Plan, Webinar

Article: “With the presence of Algorithms the markets have changed. How do you cope?” – May 5, 2014

Hey, FibStalker here.

As you may know I am not a big fan of traditional technical analysis. Why? You cannot win in the markets and make returns that can turn relatively small trading accounts into important amounts in a reasonable time (2-3 years).

No Paradise
Let’s face it, this is what all of us want. Isn’t it?

But you cannot do it with average cross-overs, indicators, pivots, trend lines or even the “modern” technical tools and indicators, all of which largely lag price, do not provide a trading plan, need to reconciled, etc. etc. But still the majority of traders rely on traditional TA alone, rather than studying and understanding price market structure, which is still considered very sophisticated, if considered at all. Today you have more tools, but still 95% of traders are loss-making.

Wonder why? In short, the simple ways of the past and modern TA tools and indicators are not capable of consistently identifying low-risk setups. Plus the available reward/risk ratios are relatively low. There is no “promised paradise” in such conditions.

Markets have changed
Now if you add on top of this that the presence of automated Algorithms (Algos) has changed the markets in the last 20-30 years, traditional TA looks less useful than ever.

The markets have changed, what does it means for you and your trading? This means that high-volume financial instruments (futures, forex, stocks, bonds) now expose price behavior and a structure that can be leveraged to improve trading decisions;

So it is all bad news? No, not at all. It is good news instead. Yes because you can use that price structure to help you not only identifying reversal areas well in advance and with precision. You can do much more…

What can you Do by Knowing Price Structure?
You can identify level where participation from Algos is expected and then test those areas. These are areas of low-risk setups that can be timed in the smaller timeframe in a totally procedural fashion. I call this technique the FibStalking Timing and I have authored it.

Sounds complex or impossible? Not at all. When you master price structure analysis based on the effects of algorithms (Algos), your trading gets pushed to the top…to the level of the Elite 5% of professional traders, who make money consistently.

You Can Become a Consistent Trader
Becoming expert in recognizing effects of Algos on price and taking advantage of it is not difficult. Anyone can do it. There’s just a specific process a set of tasks or “formula”, if you like it, that you have to follow.

A formula that most people are clueless about, as they are of the overwhelming presence and power of Algos and Program Trading (a peculiar family of algorithms) that can be leveraged for consistent gains and to create and maintain a prolonged trading success…

The playing field is completely level on this matter. People I work with come to me telling they have never witnessed my method. Trading based on effects of Algos on price is little known, if know at all by retail traders.

A lot of unique, effective and proprietary research has gone into this field to which I have dedicated over 10,000 hours since 2006, almost half of my total market exposure of 18,000 hours. I am an IFTA associate with 3 published papers and a 4th one to be published in July.

But isn’t trading difficult?
Trading is difficult only if you try to trade according to non-grounded market behaviors. TA has nothing to do with market behavior and price structure. An indicator or signal derived by one or more indicators are only representation of statistical tables of failure and success with a random probability.

Add mistakes, discording signals not reconciled consistently, mistakes, costs of trading, lack of discipline, lack of risk and money management and you should not be surprised that 95% of traders lose money in the markets (yes, confirmed, that is the number — I demonstrated it in my free webinar: “How to get and stay into the Elite 5%” , see below)

I suggest the full series of webinars on FXStreet.com.

See when you stop trading the non-sense you can be successful without having years of experience in the markets. And actually the lesser the experience, the easier is to grasp the counter-intuitive concepts in the FibStalker Methods Coaching Program.

Can You Really Make it?
My honest and helpful suggestion for you, if you want to start or re-start in trading, is to have a look at the benefits of the 7 months Program, and what it means for your trading. You can learn how to identify levels of potential participation from Algos and then how to time the reversal setups procedurally, with no initial money at risk and only after confirmation.

It does not get better than this. It is the market action itself “sucking you into” a valid position, aligned with the Psychology of the Markets. Plus you will learn to use proprietary tools and advanced techniques like the FibStalking Timing.

If you want to learn a complete approach to professional trading, including Advanced timing, analyzing and finally understanding price structure and what you can expect and anticipate on all timeframes, performing price discovery to know what is likely to happen consider joining my May 2015 session starting on Saturday May 30, 2015.

Learn to identify and validate solid, low-risk trading plans, write your own trading system based on the proven components that I will provide you with. In the program I will also help you finally installing a mental model to become a consistent trader.

You just have to know what the formula is and then follow it. I am making this formula available to a growing number of satisfied traders and at a price and with value that you will never seen again.

In fact, not only I am offering a discount but a new intraday trading system and value for $2,000 on top of the Coaching Program. Check my offer here. It all ends on May 29, 2015:

–> May 2015 Offer for the FibStalker Methods Coaching Program – DONT’ MISS IT! <–

As usual, let me know what you think by leaving an email at: fibstalker at gmail.com or a post on my blog.

Below the link to my newsletter if you want to learn more about my methods and my edge in the markets.

Have a great day.

The FibStalker Giuseppe, ~the FibStalker

 

Leave a comment

Filed under Articles, Coaching Program, Education, Forex, Market Timing, Money Management, Risk Management, Trading Method, Trading Plan

“How to Get into and Stay in the Elite 5%”, upcoming Webinar on FXStreet – February 12, 2015

Dear Traders,

It’s free…

This Friday I will be offering a free Webinar on FXStreet.com. I will explain who is the Elite 5% and what they do that we cannot do along with what we can leverage and use in our trading from knowing what is it that they do.

I will also offer proof that what it is said about the 95% crowd of retail traders, who do not obtain consistent results (which means losing money in the long run) it is actually true, although the industry makes every effort to try to hide this fact.

I will also talk about the mistakes that the 95% loss-making retail traders typically do in several areas.

I will close the webinar on a positive note explaining what we can do, as retail traders, to go from the 95% into the Elite 5% and stay there.

As usual the webinar will be packed with quality content, I will review live charts using the way I model Algos to frame price structure and for discovery in high-volume markets, and will be rich in practical no non-sense type of advices a tips.

This webinar will give you insights about how to become successful in trading, understand how the Elite 5% operates and what and how you can take advantage of some of the things the Elite knows and does to practically strengthen your trading edge.

The webinar will be this Friday at 8AM EST (1PM GMT). The details and the links to register are below. This event if FREE…

20150212_get and stay in the Elite_webinar

Register here.

See you tomorrow.

Have a great day.

Thank you,

Kind Regards,,,

~FibStalker

Author of: FibStalker Methods Coaching Program

Leave a comment

Filed under Education, Event/Webinar, Forex, Program Trading, Trading Method, Trading Plan, Webinar

Invite to upcoming Webinar on FXStreet, next Tue Jan 20, 2014

Join me in Discovering how Algos and Fundamentals can affect price of major markets this year..

Tue Jan 20th What to anticipate in 2015

Next Tuesday I will analyze for you the major global markets (Forex, Equities, Gold and Oil) and show how Algos are currently positioned. I will also discuss how the 5 global macro factors are will be affecting economies and currencies in 2015.

In the webinar I will answer all the questions you may have.

I will be waiting for you…. Write down the date: Tue, Jan 20 2015 13:00 GMT

The details of my new FXStreet Webinar are hereunder:

Title of Webinar: “Algos Positioning and Fundamentals: What to Anticipate in 2015

Summary: “I will apply my price analysis and discovery techniques based on how classes of Algorithms affect price of major global markets and share what to anticipate in 2015. Each major market (including S&P500, Gold, Oil and major forex pairs) will be also briefly analyzed in light of the 5 global macro factors currently affecting economies and currencies.”

To Register click here.

Hope to see you there,
~FibStalker

 


New Year 2015 Resolution:
“Learn to Trade like Algorithms in Modern Markets”

This Year Explore New Ways to Conquer the Forex Market….

As the new year kicks in it’s time to apply the new resolutions we all have made for 2015!

And what better way to start the new year in Forex trading with doing things differently ?

Yes, if you ask me, this is the key to effectiveness. I constantly research and refine new ways to help retail traders taming and conquering modern markets.

Learn ‘Why Doing Things Differently in 2015 is Important…’

Have a great weekend,
~FibStalker

Leave a comment

Filed under Education, Event/Webinar, Forex, Program Trading, Trading Method, Trading Plan, Webinar

Invite to upcoming Webinar on FXStreet on Order Flow- December 10, 2014

Dear Traders,

Let me ask this straight. Are you part of the 5% of traders who make money regularly and consistently in the markets? If so, congratulations, you can close this page and go back to trading.

But if you are not, you are not alone. These are the statistics: of the remaining 95%, around 10% is known to breakeven or slightly lose and 85% consistently lose money.

As of today an average of 22% still do not use a stop loss and, as a result, they get margin calls and lose their capital (recent source: OANDA). In Western countries new and intermediate traders lose, in average, between $2,000 and $6,000 USD in 3 to 6 months.

So, let me ask you: what are you doing differently or what you plan to do differently to not be or become statistics?

One way to can learn how you can look at the market differently is to join my upcoming Webinar at FXStreet.com

Join my free Webinar next Wednesday 10, to see the relation between Order Flow and Algorithms.

In my trading I model Algos that can be used to frame price structure and for “price discovery”, thanks to the existence of Program Trading a powerful family of Algorithms active on all timeframes in several high volume markets..

The details are below…

20141124_Order Flow and Algos

Register here.

Have a great day.

Thank you,

Kind Regards,,,

~FibStalker

Leave a comment

Filed under Education, Event/Webinar, Forex, Program Trading, Trading Method, Trading Plan, Webinar

Article: “Never forget the Market can do Anything” – November 19, 2014

20131205_market can do anything

Dear all,
I often find myself and other traders and students I work with to never forget that the Market can do Anything.
Indeed, most of the things and concepts of trading that I have learned or unlearned in the years had to do with the two following concepts:
1) designing my strategy so that I could  cope with anything the market could throw at me — yes, because the “Market can do Anything” (and I would not end up ‘holding the bag’ because price would move and remain below my entry point)

2) incorporate proper and enhanced risk management so that the possibility of 1) happening is low or non-existent — a level of risk management that the majority would not be ready to accept, like exiting half of the position once the gain on the position reaches a level where it equals the trading risk.

Thus I believe the majority of retail traders do not understand or realize that you *MUST* cope with the master principle that “Market can do Anything”, while I often hear words like “expect”, “assume” and even “know” that the price can do this or that.
Words are powerful, and you should be very careful because you need to *think* something before you say it. And if you think you can expect, assume and even know what price is going to do next, well…. you will be lost — statistically and practically becoming part of the 95% group of retail traders who do not make money in the markets, but rather lose consistently.

The market is “Always Right”, if you address it with a “fixed number of pip risk”, or any other type of assumption of expectations, you will fail. Full stop.
Let the market pick the pip risk, the trading plan and all the rest: you must understand how the market is moving (normally, extended, are algos holding their anchors, etc.)
On the risk side of things, the majority of traders also do not understand that this is a game that you win in defense. You must consistently take small risks and increase the reliability and expectancy of your method. Risk management is a constant and there are ways to improve it. The problem is that you cannot just avoid optimizing risk because you only have access to a method that — being based on traditional technical analysis — can only offer R/R<=3 trades with low probability of hitting the targets.
When you start with such a disadvantage and do not get involved at the beginning of a move (the best way to manage risk too) you will think that the only way to make good return in trading is to increase risk and, maybe, even use leverage (I am *AGAINST* the use of leverage in trading, and it is not needed)…

A smart follower wrote the following to me today in relation to a level I mentioned a few days ago in the EUR/USD before it materialized: “Have a question… you had predicted EUR/USD to 1.21ish and before that to 1.26. We technically touched 1.26 today, but not over 1.26. Do you think now down to 1.21 before any uptrend ?

This question offers me the opportunity — before I offer the answer — for some speculation on the way I think about trading. For me price analysis is a balances of forces. Typically when a level or area of participation by Algos is reached I wait for a confirmation. Basically the Algorithms on the smaller timeframe, driving the counter-trend move into the important level of participation, have to show me that they give the way to the larger timeframe. The larger timeframe wins often, but not all the time. And those time when it does not win, summed to the resulting highest reliability and expectancy that can be obtained by trading right at the FibStalker levels, adds up a lot! Both in the area of winners percentage and R/R values.

So here below is my answer:

“The way my method works is that when I get price into the level of interest, where I anticipate participation for algos on the larger timeframe, I look at what happens on the smaller timeframes.

Imagine 1.26 like a potential barrier where sellers on the larger timeframe can come back into the market again. But nothing is guaranteed int the market. So at these levels I become more vigilant and switch to the smaller timeframe.
To know whether shorts will be successful they need to be strong enough to win the buyers that have pushed the market higher in the last few days.
There are two set of sequences of moves higher that matter at the moment: one on the 4-hour and the other on the 15min.

What I do then is checking if and when these counter-trend sequences fail, as an effect of new shorts that can potentially come in into the markets at the 1.26.

We all know all the information in advance and I use the FibStalking Timing Technique to verify where the 4-hour and 15min sequences fail, if they fail.

So generally there are two scenarios: 1) the sequences fail and the FibStalking timing tells you the exact confirmation level (is a well-defined price level) that tells you when the counter-trend move is not valid any more. That’s the time you must get involved in a short.

Using the confirmation level you get involved in very good spots with high R/R and only after confirmation. This is why trading with the Algos is so convenient and traditional TA is not capable of offering such high R/R trades.

On the other hand it can happen that the counter-trend sequences on the 4-hour and 15min remain intact and no-one shows up at 1.26. In this case you don’t have money at risk and the market can do whatever it wants. I will just wait.

I only get involved in the markets at my own conditions (because after you are in the market can do anything).

Now the good point is that when the counter-trend move fails below or above a FibStalker level, price momentum in the direction of the trade is strong enough to generate a free-risk trade.

If you understand trading and risk management, you know that generating a free-risk trade from a low risk retrace is your job #1 as a trader.

And that’s what I attempt to do. Once I have a free-risk trade I also have a free mind and I can go to think to something else. Because either the market hits my swing profit target or closes me at breakeven minus costs and slippage.

PS: I teach the mechanical and totally procedural way to time FibStalker levels like the 1.26 in the EUR/USD in my multi-month Coaching Program. Drop me an email at fibstalker at gmail.com and ask for information.

As usual, let me know what you think by leaving an email at: fibstalker at gmail.com or a post on my blog.

Below the link to my newsletter if you want to learn more about my methods and my edge in the markets.

Have a great day.

The FibStalker Giuseppe, ~the FibStalker

 

4 Comments

Filed under Articles, Coaching Program, Education, Forex, Market Timing, Money Management, Risk Management, Trading Method, Trading Plan

“Workshop at the Toronto Money Show, next October 16th, 2014” – October 9, 2013

20141008_Metro Toronto Convention MoneyShow

Dear all,

this is to let you know that I have been invited for a speech at the Toronto Money Show, next Thursday October 16th, 2014.

If you are not in Toronto, I will try to take a couple of video footage of the event and share it with my free newsletter subscribers.

If you live in Toronto or the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), I would live to invite you to join me at the event.

I am going to talk about a New Philosophy to become a Successful Trader in Modern Markets by leveraging the presence of Algorithms in all time frame.

Join me on Thursday, October 16, 2014, 3:30 pm – 4:15 pm, at the “Metro Toronto Convention Center”.

Find below the details of the presentation:

20141008_MoneyShow_workshop details

Don’t miss it. This is going to be an eye opener. Learning to identify and trade based on the effects of modern algorithms on price has the potential to
turnaround your trading and put you in the elite of 5% of successful and consistent traders in no time flat!

This is not High Frequency Trading, Algo Trading and the family of Program Trading trade in all timeframes, large and small, and its study can produce
very effective trading plans.

 

Find below the link to the workshop information:
http://www.moneyshow.com/tradeshow/toronto/world_moneyShow/workshop-details.asp?wid=10E9E44184484A53B6AB59D3BADBFC6C

 

Come to discover a new, effective and successful way to trade the markets!

To your success, rooting for you…

Giuseppe Basile, CMT, B.Sc. Eng., MA.Fin,
SIAT/IFTA associate, Researcher and Trading Mentor
FXStreet.com Contributor and Toronto Forex Meetup leader

meinlar
Giuseppe Basile, ~FibStalker

6 Comments

Filed under Education, Event/Webinar, Forex, Program Trading, Trading Method, Trading Psychology